**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 19 septembre ?
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$35,769 Vol.
$35,769 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$35,769 Vol.
$35,769 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$233 Vol.
Non
29°C
$343 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,475 Vol.
Non
31°C
$4,336 Vol.
Non
32°C
$6,953 Vol.
Non
33°C
$7,933 Vol.
Non
34°C
$9,505 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$3,428 Vol.
Non
36°C
$1,271 Vol.
Non
37°C
$111 Vol.
Non
38°C ou plus
$181 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$35,769Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,769Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Market-implied odds place overwhelming confidence in a 34°C high for Manila on September 19, driven by trader interpretation of regional model consensus and current steering patterns.** Official PAGASA guidance projects a 32°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 60% rain chance, aligning with the southwest monsoon regime that typically caps September highs near 32°C through widespread cloud cover and convective activity. Persistent moisture and light winds limit surface heating, while any localized clearing could briefly allow temperatures to approach or reach 34°C. Historical September records show occasional peaks at or above this level when monsoon breaks occur. Real-time station data and final daily maximum readings will resolve the market, with model updates from global ensembles providing the next key inputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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