Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 17 septembre ?
21°C 50%
20°C 32%
22°C 14%
19°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
6%
20°C
32%
21°C
50%
22°C
14%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 50%
20°C 32%
22°C 14%
19°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$205 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$343 Vol.
1%
18°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,913 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,697 Vol.
32%
21°C
$1,884 Vol.
50%
22°C
$894 Vol.
14%
23°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$149 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$8,015Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,015Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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