**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 16 septembre ?
14°C 93%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 93%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
9°C <1%
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for London on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 14°C as the daily low. Recent observations show early morning readings near 12–13°C, with daytime highs reaching 19–20°C and no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push temperatures substantially lower. Historical September averages for London lows hover around 11–12°C, but current synoptic conditions and model consensus support the warmer outcome. A shift to clearer skies or lighter winds overnight could realistically allow a dip to 13°C or below, though updated guidance has not signaled this deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes