Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 15, driven by high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light southerly flow following a cool front. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress highs, consistent with early-fall climatology where average maxima hover near 75°F but recent northerly influences have tempered readings. Trader positioning, with 72-73°F at 65.5% implied probability and 70-71°F at 22.5%, reflects this stable short-range forecast; any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from local stations could still nudge the final recorded high within the 70-73°F window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 15 septembre ?
72-73°F 66%
70-71°F 22%
74-75 °F 11%
68-69°F 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
66%
74-75 °F
11%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 66%
70-71°F 22%
74-75 °F 11%
68-69°F 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$38 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$452 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$278 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$495 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$1,633 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$2,581 Vol.
66%
74-75 °F
$1,889 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$1,047 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$695 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$198 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$38 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 15, driven by high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light southerly flow following a cool front. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress highs, consistent with early-fall climatology where average maxima hover near 75°F but recent northerly influences have tempered readings. Trader positioning, with 72-73°F at 65.5% implied probability and 70-71°F at 22.5%, reflects this stable short-range forecast; any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from local stations could still nudge the final recorded high within the 70-73°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$9,343Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 15, driven by high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light southerly flow following a cool front. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress highs, consistent with early-fall climatology where average maxima hover near 75°F but recent northerly influences have tempered readings. Trader positioning, with 72-73°F at 65.5% implied probability and 70-71°F at 22.5%, reflects this stable short-range forecast; any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from local stations could still nudge the final recorded high within the 70-73°F window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,343Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature in the low 70s°F for New York City on September 15, driven by high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light southerly flow following a cool front. This setup favors modest daytime warming without significant moisture or cloud cover to suppress highs, consistent with early-fall climatology where average maxima hover near 75°F but recent northerly influences have tempered readings. Trader positioning, with 72-73°F at 65.5% implied probability and 70-71°F at 22.5%, reflects this stable short-range forecast; any last-minute model shifts or observational updates from local stations could still nudge the final recorded high within the 70-73°F window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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