Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate a high of 27–29°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the intense heat of September 15. Increased afternoon cloud cover is expected to limit insolation and peak temperatures relative to the prior day's clear-sky maximum near 35°C. Historical September 16 averages near 26.4°C provide context, while current consensus across sources supports the market's heaviest positioning on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance and low precipitation risk as stabilizing factors ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 16 septembre ?
28°C 43%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$18,912 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,912 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
43%
29°C
31%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$18,912 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$18,912 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$616 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,392 Vol.
16%
28°C
$2,754 Vol.
43%
29°C
$4,334 Vol.
31%
30°C
$4,263 Vol.
8%
31°C
$2,386 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,328 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,074 Vol.
1%
34°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate a high of 27–29°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the intense heat of September 15. Increased afternoon cloud cover is expected to limit insolation and peak temperatures relative to the prior day's clear-sky maximum near 35°C. Historical September 16 averages near 26.4°C provide context, while current consensus across sources supports the market's heaviest positioning on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance and low precipitation risk as stabilizing factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,912Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate a high of 27–29°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the intense heat of September 15. Increased afternoon cloud cover is expected to limit insolation and peak temperatures relative to the prior day's clear-sky maximum near 35°C. Historical September 16 averages near 26.4°C provide context, while current consensus across sources supports the market's heaviest positioning on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance and low precipitation risk as stabilizing factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,912Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, indicate a high of 27–29°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by a shift to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind the intense heat of September 15. Increased afternoon cloud cover is expected to limit insolation and peak temperatures relative to the prior day's clear-sky maximum near 35°C. Historical September 16 averages near 26.4°C provide context, while current consensus across sources supports the market's heaviest positioning on 28°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow range of model guidance and low precipitation risk as stabilizing factors ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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