Persistent warm, humid air under high pressure has kept Austin's overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 67°F for September 17. This setup, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling only after midnight, supports market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below at 50% while clustering secondary probability in the 72–77°F range. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could permit a brief dip below 70°F before sunrise, yet sustained southerly flow limits downside risk below the mid-70s. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will clarify whether any overnight cooling trend materializes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Austin le 17 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Austin le 17 septembre ?
69°F ou moins 100%
70-71 °F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
100%
70-71 °F
40%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
40%
82-83 °F
40%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
14%
88°F ou plus
1%
69°F ou moins 100%
70-71 °F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
40%
72-73°F
$3 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$4 Vol.
23%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
40%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
40%
86-87°F
$46 Vol.
14%
88°F ou plus
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under high pressure has kept Austin's overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 67°F for September 17. This setup, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling only after midnight, supports market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below at 50% while clustering secondary probability in the 72–77°F range. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could permit a brief dip below 70°F before sunrise, yet sustained southerly flow limits downside risk below the mid-70s. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will clarify whether any overnight cooling trend materializes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$94Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under high pressure has kept Austin's overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 67°F for September 17. This setup, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling only after midnight, supports market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below at 50% while clustering secondary probability in the 72–77°F range. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could permit a brief dip below 70°F before sunrise, yet sustained southerly flow limits downside risk below the mid-70s. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will clarify whether any overnight cooling trend materializes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air under high pressure has kept Austin's overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models, well above the 1991–2020 average low of 67°F for September 17. This setup, with light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling only after midnight, supports market-implied odds favoring 69°F or below at 50% while clustering secondary probability in the 72–77°F range. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could permit a brief dip below 70°F before sunrise, yet sustained southerly flow limits downside risk below the mid-70s. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle will clarify whether any overnight cooling trend materializes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à Austin sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73°F le 18 septembre ?
20%
Oui
La température la plus basse à Austin sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73°F le 16 septembre ?
100%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à Austin sera-t-elle comprise entre 98 et 99 °F le 17 septembre ?
41%
Oui
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