Current forecast consensus from regional models supports a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit both overnight cooling and peak solar heating. This places the outcome at the center of the market-implied distribution, with 15°C and 17°C as plausible secondary scenarios given typical model spread and observational uncertainty in spring conditions. Historical September highs average around 13–14°C, so the expected anomaly reflects transient warm advection without strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the observation window remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 15 septembre ?
16°C 66%
15°C 21%
17°C 11%
14°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$10,224 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,224 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
21%
16°C
66%
17°C
11%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 21%
17°C 11%
14°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$10,224 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,224 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$182 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,270 Vol.
2%
15°C
$3,023 Vol.
21%
16°C
$1,589 Vol.
66%
17°C
$1,956 Vol.
11%
18°C
$874 Vol.
2%
19°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models supports a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit both overnight cooling and peak solar heating. This places the outcome at the center of the market-implied distribution, with 15°C and 17°C as plausible secondary scenarios given typical model spread and observational uncertainty in spring conditions. Historical September highs average around 13–14°C, so the expected anomaly reflects transient warm advection without strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the observation window remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,224Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models supports a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit both overnight cooling and peak solar heating. This places the outcome at the center of the market-implied distribution, with 15°C and 17°C as plausible secondary scenarios given typical model spread and observational uncertainty in spring conditions. Historical September highs average around 13–14°C, so the expected anomaly reflects transient warm advection without strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the observation window remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,224Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models supports a daytime maximum near 16°C in Wellington on September 15, driven by northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate winds that limit both overnight cooling and peak solar heating. This places the outcome at the center of the market-implied distribution, with 15°C and 17°C as plausible secondary scenarios given typical model spread and observational uncertainty in spring conditions. Historical September highs average around 13–14°C, so the expected anomaly reflects transient warm advection without strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance ahead of the observation window remain the key variables that could shift trader sentiment before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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