The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, expected to reach Karachi around September 14, drives the near-even split between high-39°C+ and sub-30°C outcomes. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance highlights thunderstorms and rain potential on the 14th–15th, which could enhance cloud cover, boost humidity, and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model runs diverge sharply on timing and intensity: some project maxima near 37–38°C with only scattered activity, while others indicate stronger convective suppression capping highs closer to 31–34°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall onset explains the bimodal trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour PMD updates and observational data from regional stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Karachi le 14 septembre ?
36°C 40%
37°C 40%
39°C ou plus 38%
38°C 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
40%
37°C
40%
38°C
35%
39°C ou plus
38%
36°C 40%
37°C 40%
39°C ou plus 38%
38°C 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$101 Vol.
3%
33°C
$101 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
25%
35°C
$0 Vol.
30%
36°C
$0 Vol.
40%
37°C
$0 Vol.
40%
38°C
$0 Vol.
35%
39°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, expected to reach Karachi around September 14, drives the near-even split between high-39°C+ and sub-30°C outcomes. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance highlights thunderstorms and rain potential on the 14th–15th, which could enhance cloud cover, boost humidity, and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model runs diverge sharply on timing and intensity: some project maxima near 37–38°C with only scattered activity, while others indicate stronger convective suppression capping highs closer to 31–34°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall onset explains the bimodal trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour PMD updates and observational data from regional stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$202Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, expected to reach Karachi around September 14, drives the near-even split between high-39°C+ and sub-30°C outcomes. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance highlights thunderstorms and rain potential on the 14th–15th, which could enhance cloud cover, boost humidity, and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model runs diverge sharply on timing and intensity: some project maxima near 37–38°C with only scattered activity, while others indicate stronger convective suppression capping highs closer to 31–34°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall onset explains the bimodal trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour PMD updates and observational data from regional stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$202Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The incoming low-pressure system from the Bay of Bengal, expected to reach Karachi around September 14, drives the near-even split between high-39°C+ and sub-30°C outcomes. Official Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance highlights thunderstorms and rain potential on the 14th–15th, which could enhance cloud cover, boost humidity, and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model runs diverge sharply on timing and intensity: some project maxima near 37–38°C with only scattered activity, while others indicate stronger convective suppression capping highs closer to 31–34°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall onset explains the bimodal trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour PMD updates and observational data from regional stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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