Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 14 septembre ?
22°C 58%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
24°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
12%
19°C
6%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
58%
23°C
21%
24°C
39%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C ou plus
12%
22°C 58%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
24°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$167 Vol.
58%
23°C
$59 Vol.
21%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$227Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$227Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global models place 22°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s September 14 high, with 47% implied probability, driven by a stable anticyclone and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. This consensus reflects current 500 hPa heights and surface pressure patterns consistent with early-autumn climatology, where historical mid-September maxima average 24–26°C but recent runs show a modest cooling signal from upstream Atlantic troughing. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding cloud cover and any weak warm advection; traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS cycles plus local Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for revisions before the market resolves.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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