**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Istanbul le 14 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Istanbul le 14 septembre ?
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Vol.
$1,142 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
18°C 99%
15°C 20%
17°C 4%
16°C 3%
$1,142 Vol.
$1,142 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$157 Vol.
Non
15°C
$0 Vol.
Non
16°C
$70 Vol.
Non
17°C
$25 Vol.
Non
18°C
$111 Vol.
Oui
19°C
$557 Vol.
Non
20°C
$221 Vol.
Non
21°C
$0 Vol.
Non
22°C
$0 Vol.
Non
23°C
$0 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,142Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.**
This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,142Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast models from agencies like NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate an overnight minimum in Istanbul of 16–18°C on September 14, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and surface pressure near 1020 hPa under stable high-pressure conditions typical of early autumn in the region.** This aligns with climatological norms of roughly 16–19°C for mid-September lows and explains the market-implied probabilities favoring 17°C and 18°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing minimal overnight cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these thresholds pending final observational data from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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