Forecast consensus from numerical weather models centers minimum temperatures in Istanbul around 17–20°C for September 16, aligning with the market’s closely bunched probabilities near those levels. Light northeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and variable overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling while the Bosphorus exerts a moderating maritime influence. Historical September lows average near 17°C, providing context for the spread across 16–20°C outcomes. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind speed create the observed uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine the range before the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 16 septembre ?
15°C 88%
17°C 45%
19°C 45%
20°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
10%
14°C
18%
15°C
88%
16°C
45%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 88%
17°C 45%
19°C 45%
20°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$117 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
88%
16°C
$1 Vol.
45%
17°C
$34 Vol.
45%
18°C
$39 Vol.
45%
19°C
$33 Vol.
45%
20°C
$43 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models centers minimum temperatures in Istanbul around 17–20°C for September 16, aligning with the market’s closely bunched probabilities near those levels. Light northeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and variable overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling while the Bosphorus exerts a moderating maritime influence. Historical September lows average near 17°C, providing context for the spread across 16–20°C outcomes. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind speed create the observed uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine the range before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$310Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather models centers minimum temperatures in Istanbul around 17–20°C for September 16, aligning with the market’s closely bunched probabilities near those levels. Light northeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and variable overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling while the Bosphorus exerts a moderating maritime influence. Historical September lows average near 17°C, providing context for the spread across 16–20°C outcomes. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind speed create the observed uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine the range before the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$310Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical weather models centers minimum temperatures in Istanbul around 17–20°C for September 16, aligning with the market’s closely bunched probabilities near those levels. Light northeasterly winds, moderate humidity, and variable overnight cloud cover limit radiative cooling while the Bosphorus exerts a moderating maritime influence. Historical September lows average near 17°C, providing context for the spread across 16–20°C outcomes. Slight model differences in cloud timing and wind speed create the observed uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine the range before the overnight period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes