Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Helsinki near 11°C on September 18, driven by southwesterly flow of mild, moist Atlantic air under cloudy skies with intermittent drizzle. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 10–12°C, consistent with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins (9–12°C) stems from forecast spread in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact timing of any clearer intervals that could enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, but current conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or ECMWF will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Helsinki le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Helsinki le 18 septembre ?
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C 37%
11°C 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
10%
6°C
18%
7°C
27%
8°C
37%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
30%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C ou plus
4%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
8°C 37%
11°C 30%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
5°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
10%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
37%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$6 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
7%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Helsinki near 11°C on September 18, driven by southwesterly flow of mild, moist Atlantic air under cloudy skies with intermittent drizzle. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 10–12°C, consistent with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins (9–12°C) stems from forecast spread in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact timing of any clearer intervals that could enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, but current conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or ECMWF will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Helsinki near 11°C on September 18, driven by southwesterly flow of mild, moist Atlantic air under cloudy skies with intermittent drizzle. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 10–12°C, consistent with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins (9–12°C) stems from forecast spread in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact timing of any clearer intervals that could enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, but current conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or ECMWF will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily minimum temperature in Helsinki near 11°C on September 18, driven by southwesterly flow of mild, moist Atlantic air under cloudy skies with intermittent drizzle. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 10–12°C, consistent with the market's leading 11°C outcome at 29.5% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins (9–12°C) stems from forecast spread in cloud thickness, wind speed, and exact timing of any clearer intervals that could enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 9°C, but current conditions favor a milder outcome. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute or ECMWF will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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