Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a post-frontal northwest flow will deliver drier air to the New York metro area ahead of September 14, supporting overnight lows near 63–65 °F under mostly clear skies. Radiational cooling under light winds and low dew points near 45 °F favors the lower end of that range, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing could keep readings closer to 66–67 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 62–67 °F reflects modest divergence among short-range models on exact boundary-layer wind speeds and the timing of clearing after any early-day showers. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 14 septembre ?
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
62-63°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
8%
72-73 °F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76°F ou plus
2%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 26%
62-63°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$247 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
8%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
2%
76°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a post-frontal northwest flow will deliver drier air to the New York metro area ahead of September 14, supporting overnight lows near 63–65 °F under mostly clear skies. Radiational cooling under light winds and low dew points near 45 °F favors the lower end of that range, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing could keep readings closer to 66–67 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 62–67 °F reflects modest divergence among short-range models on exact boundary-layer wind speeds and the timing of clearing after any early-day showers. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$247Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a post-frontal northwest flow will deliver drier air to the New York metro area ahead of September 14, supporting overnight lows near 63–65 °F under mostly clear skies. Radiational cooling under light winds and low dew points near 45 °F favors the lower end of that range, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing could keep readings closer to 66–67 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 62–67 °F reflects modest divergence among short-range models on exact boundary-layer wind speeds and the timing of clearing after any early-day showers. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$247Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a post-frontal northwest flow will deliver drier air to the New York metro area ahead of September 14, supporting overnight lows near 63–65 °F under mostly clear skies. Radiational cooling under light winds and low dew points near 45 °F favors the lower end of that range, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger mixing could keep readings closer to 66–67 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 62–67 °F reflects modest divergence among short-range models on exact boundary-layer wind speeds and the timing of clearing after any early-day showers. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected later today will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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