Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 14 will most likely reach 13–14°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 27.5% and 33% implied probability. High-elevation cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northerly winds is expected to produce these minimums, consistent with September climatology for the 2,240-meter basin where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or precipitation intensity during the 03:00–07:00 local window; updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional services will refine this ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 14 septembre ?
17°C ou plus 47%
14°C 42%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
34%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
28%
14°C
33%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C ou plus
47%
17°C ou plus 47%
14°C 42%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
34%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$7 Vol.
33%
15°C
$58 Vol.
23%
16°C
$48 Vol.
39%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 14 will most likely reach 13–14°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 27.5% and 33% implied probability. High-elevation cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northerly winds is expected to produce these minimums, consistent with September climatology for the 2,240-meter basin where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or precipitation intensity during the 03:00–07:00 local window; updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional services will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$113Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 14 will most likely reach 13–14°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 27.5% and 33% implied probability. High-elevation cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northerly winds is expected to produce these minimums, consistent with September climatology for the 2,240-meter basin where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or precipitation intensity during the 03:00–07:00 local window; updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional services will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$113Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 14 will most likely reach 13–14°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 27.5% and 33% implied probability. High-elevation cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northerly winds is expected to produce these minimums, consistent with September climatology for the 2,240-meter basin where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus shows limited spread, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or precipitation intensity during the 03:00–07:00 local window; updated runs from agencies such as NOAA and regional services will refine this ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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