Recent forecasts and early observations for Mexico City on September 15 positioned a 13°C overnight minimum as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that threshold. September's rainy season typically brings afternoon convection and elevated humidity that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate radiative cooling at night under the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from regional agencies showed lows stabilizing near 12–14°C amid light northerly winds and patchy cloud cover, consistent with climatological September averages around 10–12°C but tempered by the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or a frontal passage not supported by current data releases. Official station reports and any model revisions will determine final resolution as traders weigh these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 15 septembre ?
13°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
$825 Vol.
$825 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
Non
7°C
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Oui
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C ou plus
Non
13°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
$825 Vol.
$825 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
Non
7°C
$0 Vol.
Non
8°C
$0 Vol.
Non
9°C
$0 Vol.
Non
10°C
$0 Vol.
Non
11°C
$0 Vol.
Non
12°C
$107 Vol.
Non
13°C
$55 Vol.
Oui
14°C
$485 Vol.
Non
15°C
$163 Vol.
Non
16°C ou plus
$16 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and early observations for Mexico City on September 15 positioned a 13°C overnight minimum as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that threshold. September's rainy season typically brings afternoon convection and elevated humidity that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate radiative cooling at night under the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from regional agencies showed lows stabilizing near 12–14°C amid light northerly winds and patchy cloud cover, consistent with climatological September averages around 10–12°C but tempered by the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or a frontal passage not supported by current data releases. Official station reports and any model revisions will determine final resolution as traders weigh these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Volume
$825Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and early observations for Mexico City on September 15 positioned a 13°C overnight minimum as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that threshold. September's rainy season typically brings afternoon convection and elevated humidity that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate radiative cooling at night under the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from regional agencies showed lows stabilizing near 12–14°C amid light northerly winds and patchy cloud cover, consistent with climatological September averages around 10–12°C but tempered by the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or a frontal passage not supported by current data releases. Official station reports and any model revisions will determine final resolution as traders weigh these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$825Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecasts and early observations for Mexico City on September 15 positioned a 13°C overnight minimum as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that threshold. September's rainy season typically brings afternoon convection and elevated humidity that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate radiative cooling at night under the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Model consensus from regional agencies showed lows stabilizing near 12–14°C amid light northerly winds and patchy cloud cover, consistent with climatological September averages around 10–12°C but tempered by the absence of stronger cold-air intrusions. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or a frontal passage not supported by current data releases. Official station reports and any model revisions will determine final resolution as traders weigh these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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