Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared with clearer conditions, while enhanced turbulent mixing from 10–15 km/h winds prevents stronger afternoon temperature spikes. These factors align with late-summer patterns where September climatology averages around 19°C but current synoptic flow supports values a few degrees above normal. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could easily tip the recorded high between those thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C or below or 25°C and higher given the stable model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 septembre ?
23°C 32%
24°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C ou moins 9%
$10,231 Vol.
$10,231 Vol.
21°C ou moins
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
32%
24°C
25%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C ou moins 9%
$10,231 Vol.
$10,231 Vol.
21°C ou moins
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
32%
24°C
25%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared with clearer conditions, while enhanced turbulent mixing from 10–15 km/h winds prevents stronger afternoon temperature spikes. These factors align with late-summer patterns where September climatology averages around 19°C but current synoptic flow supports values a few degrees above normal. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C because small shifts in cloud timing or wind strength could easily tip the recorded high between those thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 21°C or below or 25°C and higher given the stable model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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