Recent forecast models from sources including ICON and GFS indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 12, with afternoon highs stabilizing near 22–23°C under light northwest winds and low humidity around 40–50%. This setup, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, supports the market's strong consensus on 23°C (69% implied probability) as the most likely peak, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C yet remaining far below the 30.3°C record. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk keep 22°C as the secondary outcome at 23.5%, with only small probabilities attached to warmer thresholds absent any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 12 septembre ?
23°C 68%
22°C 23%
24°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
23%
23°C
68%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
23°C 68%
22°C 23%
24°C 6%
21°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$118 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$96 Vol.
1%
21°C
$481 Vol.
4%
22°C
$1,569 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1,456 Vol.
68%
24°C
$774 Vol.
6%
25°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$120 Vol.
1%
27°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ICON and GFS indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 12, with afternoon highs stabilizing near 22–23°C under light northwest winds and low humidity around 40–50%. This setup, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, supports the market's strong consensus on 23°C (69% implied probability) as the most likely peak, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C yet remaining far below the 30.3°C record. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk keep 22°C as the secondary outcome at 23.5%, with only small probabilities attached to warmer thresholds absent any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,873Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ICON and GFS indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 12, with afternoon highs stabilizing near 22–23°C under light northwest winds and low humidity around 40–50%. This setup, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, supports the market's strong consensus on 23°C (69% implied probability) as the most likely peak, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C yet remaining far below the 30.3°C record. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk keep 22°C as the secondary outcome at 23.5%, with only small probabilities attached to warmer thresholds absent any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,873Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ICON and GFS indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 12, with afternoon highs stabilizing near 22–23°C under light northwest winds and low humidity around 40–50%. This setup, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge, supports the market's strong consensus on 23°C (69% implied probability) as the most likely peak, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C yet remaining far below the 30.3°C record. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk keep 22°C as the secondary outcome at 23.5%, with only small probabilities attached to warmer thresholds absent any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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