Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago region overnight, with clearing skies after any afternoon showers promoting radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 33.5% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average overnight lows near 60°F, but the current pattern deviates cooler due to the wind shift and reduced cloud cover. Key uncertainties include exact clearing timing and any lingering moisture, which could nudge readings toward the 53°F-or-below outcome (30%) or hold them near 56-57°F (24%). Traders are monitoring the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 13 septembre ?
53°F ou moins 100%
54-55°F 40%
66-67°F 40%
58-59°F 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
100%
54-55°F
40%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72°F ou plus
2%
53°F ou moins 100%
54-55°F 40%
66-67°F 40%
58-59°F 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
40%
56-57°F
$6 Vol.
24%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
29%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
22%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
22%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
15%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
40%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago region overnight, with clearing skies after any afternoon showers promoting radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 33.5% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average overnight lows near 60°F, but the current pattern deviates cooler due to the wind shift and reduced cloud cover. Key uncertainties include exact clearing timing and any lingering moisture, which could nudge readings toward the 53°F-or-below outcome (30%) or hold them near 56-57°F (24%). Traders are monitoring the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$6Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago region overnight, with clearing skies after any afternoon showers promoting radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 33.5% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average overnight lows near 60°F, but the current pattern deviates cooler due to the wind shift and reduced cloud cover. Key uncertainties include exact clearing timing and any lingering moisture, which could nudge readings toward the 53°F-or-below outcome (30%) or hold them near 56-57°F (24%). Traders are monitoring the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago region overnight, with clearing skies after any afternoon showers promoting radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the mid- to upper-50s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's leading 58-59°F bin at 33.5% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average overnight lows near 60°F, but the current pattern deviates cooler due to the wind shift and reduced cloud cover. Key uncertainties include exact clearing timing and any lingering moisture, which could nudge readings toward the 53°F-or-below outcome (30%) or hold them near 56-57°F (24%). Traders are monitoring the latest model runs for adjustments ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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