**The dominant 68-69°F bin at 98% implied probability reflects official minimum temperature observations from Los Angeles stations, primarily Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a low in that narrow range overnight into September 14, 2026.** Late-summer marine layer influence and light onshore flow maintained mild overnight conditions near the seasonal average low of ~64°F, with no significant synoptic cooling or heat advection altering the outcome. Forecast models had converged on mid-to-upper 60s readings in the days prior, aligning trader consensus with verified data rather than projections. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding criteria used by the market; minor discrepancies in microclimate readings or alternative urban stations could theoretically shift the result, though historical consistency and real-time monitoring make such adjustments improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Los Angeles le 14 septembre ?
68-69°F 100.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65 °F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
$12,346 Vol.
$12,346 Vol.
15°C ou moins
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78°F ou plus
Non
68-69°F 100.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65 °F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
$12,346 Vol.
$12,346 Vol.
15°C ou moins
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65 °F
Non
66-67°F
Non
68-69°F
Oui
70-71°F
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**The dominant 68-69°F bin at 98% implied probability reflects official minimum temperature observations from Los Angeles stations, primarily Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a low in that narrow range overnight into September 14, 2026.** Late-summer marine layer influence and light onshore flow maintained mild overnight conditions near the seasonal average low of ~64°F, with no significant synoptic cooling or heat advection altering the outcome. Forecast models had converged on mid-to-upper 60s readings in the days prior, aligning trader consensus with verified data rather than projections. Resolution hinges on the precise station and rounding criteria used by the market; minor discrepancies in microclimate readings or alternative urban stations could theoretically shift the result, though historical consistency and real-time monitoring make such adjustments improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes