Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 13 septembre ?
26°C 39%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
39%
27°C
20%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$123 Vol.
1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
2%
24°C
$815 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,280 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1,112 Vol.
39%
27°C
$1,285 Vol.
20%
28°C
$738 Vol.
6%
29°C
$270 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
1%
31°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,698Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,698Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 26°C for Paris on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow, establishing the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 38%. High pressure and modest humidity are limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping the outcome above the long-term average high of roughly 22°C but short of stronger warming signals. Recent model runs show little shift in the 25–27°C range, with only minor spread from cloud timing or boundary-layer details that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Official Météo-France updates and final overnight model cycles ahead of resolution will provide the last key inputs for trader adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes