Latest short-range forecasts from Meteo-France and the ECMWF model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 12 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. Current runs cluster around 25 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 31 % weighting on 26 °C. A recent influx of cooler Atlantic air has tempered early-September warmth, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing further rebound. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could still shift the peak by 1 °C either way ahead of resolution, with fresh guidance expected from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 12 septembre ?
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
42%
26°C
28%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C ou plus
3%
25°C 42%
26°C 28%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$41 Vol.
3%
24°C
$205 Vol.
13%
25°C
$878 Vol.
42%
26°C
$116 Vol.
28%
27°C
$402 Vol.
8%
28°C
$189 Vol.
2%
29°C
$118 Vol.
2%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from Meteo-France and the ECMWF model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 12 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. Current runs cluster around 25 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 31 % weighting on 26 °C. A recent influx of cooler Atlantic air has tempered early-September warmth, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing further rebound. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could still shift the peak by 1 °C either way ahead of resolution, with fresh guidance expected from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,965Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from Meteo-France and the ECMWF model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 12 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. Current runs cluster around 25 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 31 % weighting on 26 °C. A recent influx of cooler Atlantic air has tempered early-September warmth, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing further rebound. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could still shift the peak by 1 °C either way ahead of resolution, with fresh guidance expected from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,965Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from Meteo-France and the ECMWF model consensus point to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C in Paris on 12 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. Current runs cluster around 25 °C, consistent with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for that outcome and the secondary 31 % weighting on 26 °C. A recent influx of cooler Atlantic air has tempered early-September warmth, keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing further rebound. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover could still shift the peak by 1 °C either way ahead of resolution, with fresh guidance expected from the next ECMWF and GFS cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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