**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and northeast monsoon conditions.** Current readings show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–32°C across stations, with the Observatory site recording a maximum of 31.9°C amid partly sunny skies, low rainfall probability, and moderate northeasterly winds. Forecast models from the Observatory consistently project a high near 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which suppresses convection and maintains drier air (relative humidity 50–90%). Historical September baselines for the region align with these values when monsoon flow dominates. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require stronger solar heating or a temporary weakening of the monsoon, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the observed trajectory. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty range as real-time data converge on 31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 10 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$119,899 Vol.
$119,899 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 100.0%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$119,899 Vol.
$119,899 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$523 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,285 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,578 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$22,417 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$34,744 Vol.
100%
32°C
$25,119 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,536 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,913 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and northeast monsoon conditions.**
Current readings show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–32°C across stations, with the Observatory site recording a maximum of 31.9°C amid partly sunny skies, low rainfall probability, and moderate northeasterly winds. Forecast models from the Observatory consistently project a high near 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which suppresses convection and maintains drier air (relative humidity 50–90%). Historical September baselines for the region align with these values when monsoon flow dominates.
A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require stronger solar heating or a temporary weakening of the monsoon, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the observed trajectory. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty range as real-time data converge on 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$119,899Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and northeast monsoon conditions.**
Current readings show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–32°C across stations, with the Observatory site recording a maximum of 31.9°C amid partly sunny skies, low rainfall probability, and moderate northeasterly winds. Forecast models from the Observatory consistently project a high near 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which suppresses convection and maintains drier air (relative humidity 50–90%). Historical September baselines for the region align with these values when monsoon flow dominates.
A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require stronger solar heating or a temporary weakening of the monsoon, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the observed trajectory. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty range as real-time data converge on 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$119,899Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Hong Kong on September 10, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and northeast monsoon conditions.** Current readings show afternoon temperatures reaching 30–32°C across stations, with the Observatory site recording a maximum of 31.9°C amid partly sunny skies, low rainfall probability, and moderate northeasterly winds. Forecast models from the Observatory consistently project a high near 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which suppresses convection and maintains drier air (relative humidity 50–90%). Historical September baselines for the region align with these values when monsoon flow dominates. A realistic shift to 32°C or higher would require stronger solar heating or a temporary weakening of the monsoon, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely given the observed trajectory. Market-implied odds capture this narrow uncertainty range as real-time data converge on 31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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