Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable maximum for Manila tomorrow because Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) guidance and global model ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability in the southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit insolation and keep the peak near the long-term mid-September average of roughly 31.5°C, while any break in convection could allow brief clearing and a 1°C rise. Key variables still in play include exact timing of rain bands, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects; updated PAGASA and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs tonight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 12 septembre ?
31°C 37%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
37%
32°C
29%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
1%
31°C 37%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$302 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$251 Vol.
1%
28°C
$124 Vol.
2%
29°C
$256 Vol.
5%
30°C
$322 Vol.
17%
31°C
$835 Vol.
37%
32°C
$680 Vol.
29%
33°C
$697 Vol.
10%
34°C
$49 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable maximum for Manila tomorrow because Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) guidance and global model ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability in the southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit insolation and keep the peak near the long-term mid-September average of roughly 31.5°C, while any break in convection could allow brief clearing and a 1°C rise. Key variables still in play include exact timing of rain bands, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects; updated PAGASA and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs tonight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$3,837Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable maximum for Manila tomorrow because Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) guidance and global model ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability in the southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit insolation and keep the peak near the long-term mid-September average of roughly 31.5°C, while any break in convection could allow brief clearing and a 1°C rise. Key variables still in play include exact timing of rain bands, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects; updated PAGASA and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs tonight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,837Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable maximum for Manila tomorrow because Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) guidance and global model ensembles show only modest day-to-day variability in the southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit insolation and keep the peak near the long-term mid-September average of roughly 31.5°C, while any break in convection could allow brief clearing and a 1°C rise. Key variables still in play include exact timing of rain bands, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects; updated PAGASA and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs tonight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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