**Trader consensus centers on 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflecting model guidance for daytime highs amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** September falls in the southwest monsoon season, when cloud cover and frequent rain typically cap maximums near the long-term average of 30–31°C, though brief clear spells or urban heat effects in Metro Manila can push readings 1–2°C higher at official stations. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate afternoon peaks of 30–31°C with 60–85% rain chances and light winds, limiting extreme heating while dew points near 24–25°C sustain muggy conditions. The elevated market-implied odds for 32–33°C likely incorporate slight upward bias from recent model runs or expectations of localized warming before convective activity intensifies. Official PAGASA observations, which resolve the market, will provide the definitive reading later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Manille le 13 septembre ?
32°C 64%
33°C 25%
34°C ou plus 6%
24°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$17,689 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,689 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
64%
33°C
30%
34°C ou plus
6%
32°C 64%
33°C 25%
34°C ou plus 6%
24°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$17,689 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$17,689 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$247 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,635 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,072 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,873 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,108 Vol.
64%
33°C
$1,709 Vol.
30%
34°C ou plus
$1,121 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflecting model guidance for daytime highs amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** September falls in the southwest monsoon season, when cloud cover and frequent rain typically cap maximums near the long-term average of 30–31°C, though brief clear spells or urban heat effects in Metro Manila can push readings 1–2°C higher at official stations. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate afternoon peaks of 30–31°C with 60–85% rain chances and light winds, limiting extreme heating while dew points near 24–25°C sustain muggy conditions. The elevated market-implied odds for 32–33°C likely incorporate slight upward bias from recent model runs or expectations of localized warming before convective activity intensifies. Official PAGASA observations, which resolve the market, will provide the definitive reading later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,689Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflecting model guidance for daytime highs amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** September falls in the southwest monsoon season, when cloud cover and frequent rain typically cap maximums near the long-term average of 30–31°C, though brief clear spells or urban heat effects in Metro Manila can push readings 1–2°C higher at official stations. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate afternoon peaks of 30–31°C with 60–85% rain chances and light winds, limiting extreme heating while dew points near 24–25°C sustain muggy conditions. The elevated market-implied odds for 32–33°C likely incorporate slight upward bias from recent model runs or expectations of localized warming before convective activity intensifies. Official PAGASA observations, which resolve the market, will provide the definitive reading later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,689Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Manila on September 13, 2026, reflecting model guidance for daytime highs amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** September falls in the southwest monsoon season, when cloud cover and frequent rain typically cap maximums near the long-term average of 30–31°C, though brief clear spells or urban heat effects in Metro Manila can push readings 1–2°C higher at official stations. Current forecasts from multiple sources indicate afternoon peaks of 30–31°C with 60–85% rain chances and light winds, limiting extreme heating while dew points near 24–25°C sustain muggy conditions. The elevated market-implied odds for 32–33°C likely incorporate slight upward bias from recent model runs or expectations of localized warming before convective activity intensifies. Official PAGASA observations, which resolve the market, will provide the definitive reading later today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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