Recent observational data from Guangzhou monitoring stations show the daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with the city's September climatological average high of 32.2°C while reflecting localized conditions that prevented both stronger heating and significant cooling from precipitation. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converged on similar peaks earlier in the day, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty. The result could shift only if final verified readings from the designated station fall outside this narrow band due to timing of any late-day rain or measurement adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 13 septembre ?
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$63,347 Vol.
$63,347 Vol.
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$63,347 Vol.
$63,347 Vol.
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Guangzhou monitoring stations show the daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driving the market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for that exact outcome. This aligns with the city's September climatological average high of 32.2°C while reflecting localized conditions that prevented both stronger heating and significant cooling from precipitation. Official forecasts from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models converged on similar peaks earlier in the day, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty. The result could shift only if final verified readings from the designated station fall outside this narrow band due to timing of any late-day rain or measurement adjustments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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