Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Qingdao’s September 13 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing modest warming under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow, which limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Current observations indicate overcast skies with surface temperatures in the mid-20s°C and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where coastal moderation keeps peaks near or slightly above the 26°C September climatological average. Minor model spread in cloud timing and wind direction creates the tight 28°C versus 29°C split, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time station data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 13 septembre ?
28°C 41%
29°C 34%
27°C 14%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
41%
29°C
34%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C ou plus
2%
28°C 41%
29°C 34%
27°C 14%
30°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$183 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$100 Vol.
2%
26°C
$140 Vol.
4%
27°C
$465 Vol.
14%
28°C
$586 Vol.
41%
29°C
$669 Vol.
34%
30°C
$89 Vol.
10%
31°C
$149 Vol.
3%
32°C ou plus
$297 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Qingdao’s September 13 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing modest warming under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow, which limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Current observations indicate overcast skies with surface temperatures in the mid-20s°C and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where coastal moderation keeps peaks near or slightly above the 26°C September climatological average. Minor model spread in cloud timing and wind direction creates the tight 28°C versus 29°C split, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time station data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,846Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Qingdao’s September 13 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing modest warming under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow, which limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Current observations indicate overcast skies with surface temperatures in the mid-20s°C and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where coastal moderation keeps peaks near or slightly above the 26°C September climatological average. Minor model spread in cloud timing and wind direction creates the tight 28°C versus 29°C split, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time station data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,846Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 28–29°C for Qingdao’s September 13 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing modest warming under persistent cloud cover and light southerly to southwesterly flow, which limits daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Current observations indicate overcast skies with surface temperatures in the mid-20s°C and stable high pressure, consistent with late-summer patterns where coastal moderation keeps peaks near or slightly above the 26°C September climatological average. Minor model spread in cloud timing and wind direction creates the tight 28°C versus 29°C split, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C+ outcomes that would require clearer skies or stronger warm advection. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time station data tomorrow will determine the precise maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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