Recent forecasts from NOAA and National Weather Service stations indicate San Francisco will see clear to partly cloudy skies with breezy northwest winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 56–58°F rather than the historical September average low of 56°F. A lingering warm spell following early-September highs near 94°F has limited marine-layer intrusion and kept dew points elevated, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops below 60°F. Trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the 60–61°F bin reflects these model runs and real-time observations showing minimums holding in the upper 50s to low 60s, with resolution hinging on official KSFO or downtown readings once the full 24-hour period closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 13 septembre ?
49°F ou moins 95%
60-61°F 95%
56-57°F 50%
54-55°F 33%
$336 Vol.
$336 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
95%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
50%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
86%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F ou plus
<1%
49°F ou moins 95%
60-61°F 95%
56-57°F 50%
54-55°F 33%
$336 Vol.
$336 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
95%
50-51°F
$30 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
33%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
50%
58-59°F
$196 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$19 Vol.
86%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$75 Vol.
<1%
68°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and National Weather Service stations indicate San Francisco will see clear to partly cloudy skies with breezy northwest winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 56–58°F rather than the historical September average low of 56°F. A lingering warm spell following early-September highs near 94°F has limited marine-layer intrusion and kept dew points elevated, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops below 60°F. Trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the 60–61°F bin reflects these model runs and real-time observations showing minimums holding in the upper 50s to low 60s, with resolution hinging on official KSFO or downtown readings once the full 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$336Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and National Weather Service stations indicate San Francisco will see clear to partly cloudy skies with breezy northwest winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 56–58°F rather than the historical September average low of 56°F. A lingering warm spell following early-September highs near 94°F has limited marine-layer intrusion and kept dew points elevated, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops below 60°F. Trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the 60–61°F bin reflects these model runs and real-time observations showing minimums holding in the upper 50s to low 60s, with resolution hinging on official KSFO or downtown readings once the full 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$336Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and National Weather Service stations indicate San Francisco will see clear to partly cloudy skies with breezy northwest winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that bottoms out near 56–58°F rather than the historical September average low of 56°F. A lingering warm spell following early-September highs near 94°F has limited marine-layer intrusion and kept dew points elevated, reducing the likelihood of sharper drops below 60°F. Trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the 60–61°F bin reflects these model runs and real-time observations showing minimums holding in the upper 50s to low 60s, with resolution hinging on official KSFO or downtown readings once the full 24-hour period closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 13 septembre ?
55%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 14 septembre ?
47%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 74 et 75°F le 14 septembre ?
38%
Oui
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