Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models indicate a stable anticyclonic pattern over northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C (54%) and 28°C (40%) outcomes, as consensus model runs show afternoon peaks clustering near 28°C before cooling overnight. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs around 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average warmth without extreme heat. Low probabilities assigned to 26°C or below and 29°C or above reflect tight model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the short-range outlook, with final resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 septembre ?
27°C 54%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$14,923 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,923 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
54%
28°C
40%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$14,923 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,923 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$2,342 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$954 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,611 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,473 Vol.
54%
28°C
$3,280 Vol.
40%
29°C
$1,986 Vol.
3%
30°C
$152 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models indicate a stable anticyclonic pattern over northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C (54%) and 28°C (40%) outcomes, as consensus model runs show afternoon peaks clustering near 28°C before cooling overnight. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs around 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average warmth without extreme heat. Low probabilities assigned to 26°C or below and 29°C or above reflect tight model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the short-range outlook, with final resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$14,923Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models indicate a stable anticyclonic pattern over northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C (54%) and 28°C (40%) outcomes, as consensus model runs show afternoon peaks clustering near 28°C before cooling overnight. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs around 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average warmth without extreme heat. Low probabilities assigned to 26°C or below and 29°C or above reflect tight model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the short-range outlook, with final resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,923Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from European and global models indicate a stable anticyclonic pattern over northern Italy, with clear skies and light easterly winds supporting daytime maximum temperatures of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C (54%) and 28°C (40%) outcomes, as consensus model runs show afternoon peaks clustering near 28°C before cooling overnight. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs around 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-average warmth without extreme heat. Low probabilities assigned to 26°C or below and 29°C or above reflect tight model agreement and minimal uncertainty in the short-range outlook, with final resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Milan’s reference station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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