Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 15 septembre ?
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,857 Vol.
$20,857 Vol.
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
34°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$20,857 Vol.
$20,857 Vol.
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38°C ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Real-time observations and numerical weather models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daily maximum of 34°C in Tel Aviv on September 15 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This aligns with the market's near-100% implied probability for 34°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified station data rather than forecasts. Historical September averages near 29–32°C provide context, yet current atmospheric patterns support the elevated reading. Resolution hinges on official hourly maxima; minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C before the close of the observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes