Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in London on September 15 under westerly flow with light showers or variable cloud, placing 22°C and 23°C as the closest outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer mixing, with afternoon peaks hinging on brief clear spells versus persistent low cloud. This uncertainty, combined with the two-day lead time before resolution, keeps the two leading bins nearly tied while lower and higher thresholds reflect lower-probability extremes outside current model consensus. Updated runs from national forecasting centers will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 septembre ?
22°C 42%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
42%
23°C
37%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C ou plus
2%
22°C 42%
23°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$10 Vol.
2%
18°C
$10 Vol.
3%
19°C
$27 Vol.
1%
20°C
$32 Vol.
3%
21°C
$84 Vol.
13%
22°C
$476 Vol.
42%
23°C
$393 Vol.
37%
24°C
$32 Vol.
9%
25°C
$79 Vol.
3%
26°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in London on September 15 under westerly flow with light showers or variable cloud, placing 22°C and 23°C as the closest outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer mixing, with afternoon peaks hinging on brief clear spells versus persistent low cloud. This uncertainty, combined with the two-day lead time before resolution, keeps the two leading bins nearly tied while lower and higher thresholds reflect lower-probability extremes outside current model consensus. Updated runs from national forecasting centers will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$1,193Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in London on September 15 under westerly flow with light showers or variable cloud, placing 22°C and 23°C as the closest outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer mixing, with afternoon peaks hinging on brief clear spells versus persistent low cloud. This uncertainty, combined with the two-day lead time before resolution, keeps the two leading bins nearly tied while lower and higher thresholds reflect lower-probability extremes outside current model consensus. Updated runs from national forecasting centers will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,193Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in London on September 15 under westerly flow with light showers or variable cloud, placing 22°C and 23°C as the closest outcomes in the market. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to timing of any rain bands and boundary-layer mixing, with afternoon peaks hinging on brief clear spells versus persistent low cloud. This uncertainty, combined with the two-day lead time before resolution, keeps the two leading bins nearly tied while lower and higher thresholds reflect lower-probability extremes outside current model consensus. Updated runs from national forecasting centers will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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