Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Paris le 15 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Paris le 15 septembre ?
16°C 99.5%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 Vol.
$7,390 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Oui
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
16°C 99.5%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 Vol.
$7,390 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$98 Vol.
Non
12°C
$118 Vol.
Non
13°C
$198 Vol.
Non
14°C
$260 Vol.
Non
15°C
$767 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,318 Vol.
Oui
17°C
$1,913 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,412 Vol.
Non
19°C
$430 Vol.
Non
20°C
$790 Vol.
Non
21°C ou plus
$86 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$7,390Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,390Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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