Trader consensus around a 31°C maximum in Hong Kong on September 13 reflects official forecast guidance indicating daytime highs near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and high humidity levels around 80%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited peak solar insolation, preventing stronger surface heating typical of clearer September conditions, while regional sea surface temperatures and monsoon influences maintain the narrow range. Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory align with model consensus projecting no exceedance of 31–32°C. A sudden clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation could allow additional warming toward 32°C or higher, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 13 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
$104,763 Vol.
$104,763 Vol.
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
$104,763 Vol.
$104,763 Vol.
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 31°C maximum in Hong Kong on September 13 reflects official forecast guidance indicating daytime highs near that threshold amid partly cloudy skies, moderate easterly flow, and high humidity levels around 80%. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers have limited peak solar insolation, preventing stronger surface heating typical of clearer September conditions, while regional sea surface temperatures and monsoon influences maintain the narrow range. Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory align with model consensus projecting no exceedance of 31–32°C. A sudden clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation could allow additional warming toward 32°C or higher, though current steering patterns and moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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