Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 27°C in Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling amid high dew points near 24–25°C. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near this level as cloud cover and showers moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong cold surge. Trader positioning reflects this stability, with only slim odds on 26°C or lower if models shift toward greater radiational cooling or enhanced wind. Resolution hinges on the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum reading, which could edge lower if localized showers intensify after midnight or higher if urban heat effects dominate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 13 septembre ?
27°C 93%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
$19,884 Vol.
$19,884 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
27°C 93%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
$19,884 Vol.
$19,884 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$739 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,726 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,689 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,428 Vol.
3%
26°C
$2,539 Vol.
6%
27°C
$6,923 Vol.
93%
28°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 27°C in Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling amid high dew points near 24–25°C. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near this level as cloud cover and showers moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong cold surge. Trader positioning reflects this stability, with only slim odds on 26°C or lower if models shift toward greater radiational cooling or enhanced wind. Resolution hinges on the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum reading, which could edge lower if localized showers intensify after midnight or higher if urban heat effects dominate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,884Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 27°C in Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling amid high dew points near 24–25°C. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near this level as cloud cover and showers moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong cold surge. Trader positioning reflects this stability, with only slim odds on 26°C or lower if models shift toward greater radiational cooling or enhanced wind. Resolution hinges on the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum reading, which could edge lower if localized showers intensify after midnight or higher if urban heat effects dominate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,884Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 27°C in Hong Kong on September 13, driven by persistent warm, humid subtropical air under light easterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling amid high dew points near 24–25°C. Official guidance shows overnight lows stabilizing near this level as cloud cover and showers moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical September baselines where minima rarely fall below 26°C without a strong cold surge. Trader positioning reflects this stability, with only slim odds on 26°C or lower if models shift toward greater radiational cooling or enhanced wind. Resolution hinges on the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily minimum reading, which could edge lower if localized showers intensify after midnight or higher if urban heat effects dominate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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