Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$249 Vol.
Non
22°C
$754 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,268 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,051 Vol.
Non
25°C
$3,091 Vol.
Non
26°C
$5,839 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$5,895 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,818 Vol.
Non
29°C
$24 Vol.
Non
30°C
$618 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$40 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,649Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,649Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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