**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 18 septembre ?
26°C 55%
27°C 40%
23°C 3%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$11,728 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,728 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
55%
27°C
40%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou plus
1%
26°C 55%
27°C 40%
23°C 3%
24°C 3%
NOUVEAU
$11,728 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,728 Vol.
18 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$81 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$649 Vol.
2%
26°C
$4,437 Vol.
55%
27°C
$2,656 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,478 Vol.
2%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,187 Vol.
1%
31°C ou plus
$1,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,728Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,728Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26–27°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 18, with 26°C holding a 55% implied probability and 27°C at 37%.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multiple forecast models indicate clear, dry conditions under the influence of the northeast monsoon and high pressure, producing overnight lows near 26–27°C and daytime highs around 31–32°C. Light easterly winds and low humidity support minimal overnight cooling, consistent with recent observations where minima have hovered in this range. No incoming weather systems or significant model divergences suggest deviations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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