A strong closed 500 mb low and associated atmospheric river are the main drivers expected to deliver widespread precipitation across the Midwest and Upper Great Lakes on September 14, with National Weather Service outlooks indicating 1–2 inches of rain and localized totals exceeding 3 inches under a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall. Model consensus points to elevated probabilities in the central and northern Plains extending eastward, while most southern and western regions remain drier with only isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Official NWS and WPC guidance issued on September 13 emphasizes steering patterns and moisture transport as key variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact rainfall amounts and boundaries. Updated short-range model runs and NWS forecast discussions on September 14 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù va-t-il pleuvoir le 14 septembre ?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
27%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
27%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
26%
Atlanta, GA
27%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
27%
$0.00 Vol.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
50%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
27%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphie, PA
27%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
26%
Atlanta, GA
27%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
La Nouvelle-Orléans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
27%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Source de résolution
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRésolveur
0x65070BE91...A strong closed 500 mb low and associated atmospheric river are the main drivers expected to deliver widespread precipitation across the Midwest and Upper Great Lakes on September 14, with National Weather Service outlooks indicating 1–2 inches of rain and localized totals exceeding 3 inches under a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall. Model consensus points to elevated probabilities in the central and northern Plains extending eastward, while most southern and western regions remain drier with only isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Official NWS and WPC guidance issued on September 13 emphasizes steering patterns and moisture transport as key variables, with ensemble spreads highlighting uncertainty in exact rainfall amounts and boundaries. Updated short-range model runs and NWS forecast discussions on September 14 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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