Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C daily range under partly cloudy skies that transition to mostly fine conditions. North to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and drier air promoted radiative cooling overnight while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise retain heat. Recent observations showed daytime highs near 30–32°C and humidity dropping below 60% at peak heating, aligning with typical early-September patterns yet slightly cooler than prior days. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects this stable setup, though unexpected increases in overnight cloud cover or wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C or below. Official HKO daily extract data will confirm the exact absolute minimum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 11 septembre ?
25°C 99.0%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,230 Vol.
$38,230 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 99.0%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,230 Vol.
$38,230 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,591 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5,713 Vol.
1%
25°C
$9,846 Vol.
99%
26°C
$5,754 Vol.
1%
27°C
$8,860 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,103 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C daily range under partly cloudy skies that transition to mostly fine conditions. North to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and drier air promoted radiative cooling overnight while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise retain heat. Recent observations showed daytime highs near 30–32°C and humidity dropping below 60% at peak heating, aligning with typical early-September patterns yet slightly cooler than prior days. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects this stable setup, though unexpected increases in overnight cloud cover or wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C or below. Official HKO daily extract data will confirm the exact absolute minimum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38,230Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C daily range under partly cloudy skies that transition to mostly fine conditions. North to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and drier air promoted radiative cooling overnight while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise retain heat. Recent observations showed daytime highs near 30–32°C and humidity dropping below 60% at peak heating, aligning with typical early-September patterns yet slightly cooler than prior days. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects this stable setup, though unexpected increases in overnight cloud cover or wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C or below. Official HKO daily extract data will confirm the exact absolute minimum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,230Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 25–31°C daily range under partly cloudy skies that transition to mostly fine conditions. North to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and drier air promoted radiative cooling overnight while limiting cloud cover that could otherwise retain heat. Recent observations showed daytime highs near 30–32°C and humidity dropping below 60% at peak heating, aligning with typical early-September patterns yet slightly cooler than prior days. The overwhelming 99% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects this stable setup, though unexpected increases in overnight cloud cover or wind shifts could allow modest additional cooling toward 24°C or below. Official HKO daily extract data will confirm the exact absolute minimum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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