**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 11, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning stems from the Observatory’s official forecast range of 25–31°C, with recent observations showing daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C under northeast monsoon flow that promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Seasonal September norms, combined with lower relative humidity below 60% at times, supported stronger solar heating and elevated surface temperatures consistent with model consensus. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for similar monsoon-influenced days. A lower reading could only realistically occur if unreported localized cloud persistence or measurement adjustments in the final Daily Extract altered the absolute daily maximum, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 11 septembre ?
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$111,549 Vol.
$111,549 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
27°C <1%
$111,549 Vol.
$111,549 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$265 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$19,467 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$11,251 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,789 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,940 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,005 Vol.
100%
33°C
$26,438 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$230 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 11, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning stems from the Observatory’s official forecast range of 25–31°C, with recent observations showing daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C under northeast monsoon flow that promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Seasonal September norms, combined with lower relative humidity below 60% at times, supported stronger solar heating and elevated surface temperatures consistent with model consensus.
The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for similar monsoon-influenced days. A lower reading could only realistically occur if unreported localized cloud persistence or measurement adjustments in the final Daily Extract altered the absolute daily maximum, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$111,549Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 11, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning stems from the Observatory’s official forecast range of 25–31°C, with recent observations showing daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C under northeast monsoon flow that promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Seasonal September norms, combined with lower relative humidity below 60% at times, supported stronger solar heating and elevated surface temperatures consistent with model consensus.
The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for similar monsoon-influenced days. A lower reading could only realistically occur if unreported localized cloud persistence or measurement adjustments in the final Daily Extract altered the absolute daily maximum, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111,549Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on September 11, 2026, at 99.8% implied probability.** This positioning stems from the Observatory’s official forecast range of 25–31°C, with recent observations showing daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C under northeast monsoon flow that promoted clearer skies and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours. Seasonal September norms, combined with lower relative humidity below 60% at times, supported stronger solar heating and elevated surface temperatures consistent with model consensus. The market reflects aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric conditions and historical analogs for similar monsoon-influenced days. A lower reading could only realistically occur if unreported localized cloud persistence or measurement adjustments in the final Daily Extract altered the absolute daily maximum, though current data make such revisions unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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