Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and above-average rainfall across São Paulo on September 12 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed afternoon temperatures near 19–23 °C according to multiple station reports and model consensus. September 2026 has already run 7.5 °C below the long-term mean, with persistent southerly flow and high humidity limiting insolation and preventing the typical 25–27 °C September maxima. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward a 20 °C peak (67.5 % implied probability), while the modest 21 °C and sub-19 °C options reflect remaining uncertainty in final hourly readings and any late-day clearing. Updated INMET and regional model runs released this morning will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 septembre ?
20°C 86%
21°C 15%
19°C ou moins 8.5%
22°C 3%
$38,976 Vol.
$38,976 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
9%
20°C
71%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 86%
21°C 15%
19°C ou moins 8.5%
22°C 3%
$38,976 Vol.
$38,976 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$4,994 Vol.
9%
20°C
$4,407 Vol.
71%
21°C
$4,078 Vol.
20%
22°C
$4,892 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,660 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,091 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,603 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,122 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,953 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$1,640 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and above-average rainfall across São Paulo on September 12 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed afternoon temperatures near 19–23 °C according to multiple station reports and model consensus. September 2026 has already run 7.5 °C below the long-term mean, with persistent southerly flow and high humidity limiting insolation and preventing the typical 25–27 °C September maxima. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward a 20 °C peak (67.5 % implied probability), while the modest 21 °C and sub-19 °C options reflect remaining uncertainty in final hourly readings and any late-day clearing. Updated INMET and regional model runs released this morning will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$38,976Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and above-average rainfall across São Paulo on September 12 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed afternoon temperatures near 19–23 °C according to multiple station reports and model consensus. September 2026 has already run 7.5 °C below the long-term mean, with persistent southerly flow and high humidity limiting insolation and preventing the typical 25–27 °C September maxima. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward a 20 °C peak (67.5 % implied probability), while the modest 21 °C and sub-19 °C options reflect remaining uncertainty in final hourly readings and any late-day clearing. Updated INMET and regional model runs released this morning will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,976Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and above-average rainfall across São Paulo on September 12 have suppressed daytime heating, keeping observed afternoon temperatures near 19–23 °C according to multiple station reports and model consensus. September 2026 has already run 7.5 °C below the long-term mean, with persistent southerly flow and high humidity limiting insolation and preventing the typical 25–27 °C September maxima. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward a 20 °C peak (67.5 % implied probability), while the modest 21 °C and sub-19 °C options reflect remaining uncertainty in final hourly readings and any late-day clearing. Updated INMET and regional model runs released this morning will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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