Persistent hot and humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high pressure are keeping overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to minimum temperatures in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13. Recent model consensus shows limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76-77°F, 88°F or higher, and 69°F or below. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight how anomalous the current pattern remains, while small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Austin le 13 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Austin le 13 septembre ?
69°F ou moins 46%
88°F ou plus 46%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
46%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
36%
78-79 °F
29%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
17%
88°F ou plus
46%
69°F ou moins 46%
88°F ou plus 46%
82-83°F 39%
76-77°F 36%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
46%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$14 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$10 Vol.
36%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
22%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
18%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
17%
88°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot and humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high pressure are keeping overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to minimum temperatures in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13. Recent model consensus shows limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76-77°F, 88°F or higher, and 69°F or below. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight how anomalous the current pattern remains, while small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$24Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot and humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high pressure are keeping overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to minimum temperatures in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13. Recent model consensus shows limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76-77°F, 88°F or higher, and 69°F or below. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight how anomalous the current pattern remains, while small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot and humid conditions driven by southerly flow and high pressure are keeping overnight lows elevated, with National Weather Service forecasts pointing to minimum temperatures in the upper 70s for Austin on September 13. Recent model consensus shows limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 76-77°F, 88°F or higher, and 69°F or below. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight how anomalous the current pattern remains, while small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the exact low. Updated NWS guidance and new model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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