**Recent cooling from a strong cold front and associated heavy rainfall has sharply lowered temperatures in Chengdu, shifting the market toward 24–25°C as the most likely high for September 11.** A significant cold-air outbreak and precipitation event on September 8–10 dropped daily highs from the low-to-mid 30s°C to the low 20s°C, with official forecasts citing a cumulative 5–7°C decline in average temperatures and localized heavy rain or thunderstorms. Post-frontal conditions on the 11th feature northerly flow, lingering cloud cover, and a chance of scattered showers, limiting daytime warming. Multiple models and local forecasts converge on highs in the 21–26°C range, with several pointing to 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies; the market’s clustering around 24–25°C reflects this consensus while accounting for modest uncertainty in the exact timing of any partial clearing or residual moisture that could nudge the peak slightly higher or keep it capped near 23°C. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the fresh cold-air influence and basin effects keep the distribution tightly centered in the mid-20s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 11 septembre ?
25°C 34%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
20°C ou moins
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 25%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
20°C ou moins
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
25%
25°C
34%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooling from a strong cold front and associated heavy rainfall has sharply lowered temperatures in Chengdu, shifting the market toward 24–25°C as the most likely high for September 11.** A significant cold-air outbreak and precipitation event on September 8–10 dropped daily highs from the low-to-mid 30s°C to the low 20s°C, with official forecasts citing a cumulative 5–7°C decline in average temperatures and localized heavy rain or thunderstorms. Post-frontal conditions on the 11th feature northerly flow, lingering cloud cover, and a chance of scattered showers, limiting daytime warming. Multiple models and local forecasts converge on highs in the 21–26°C range, with several pointing to 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies; the market’s clustering around 24–25°C reflects this consensus while accounting for modest uncertainty in the exact timing of any partial clearing or residual moisture that could nudge the peak slightly higher or keep it capped near 23°C. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, but the fresh cold-air influence and basin effects keep the distribution tightly centered in the mid-20s.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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