Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17–18°C for Chengdu’s lowest temperature today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid transitional early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with clearer skies favoring greater heat loss and higher probabilities for the 17°C outcome. Regional models show limited consensus on exact dew-point trajectories and urban-heat-island modulation, while historical September minima near 18°C provide a baseline that traders weigh against current observational trends. Resolution hinges on official Chengdu meteorological station readings, with any late-evening frontal passage or increased moisture the key variable that could tip the market toward 16°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 10 septembre ?
15°C 83%
14°C ou moins 54%
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
54%
15°C
83%
16°C
45%
17°C
46%
18°C
52%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 83%
14°C ou moins 54%
17°C 46%
16°C 45%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
54%
15°C
$15 Vol.
83%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
46%
18°C
$18 Vol.
52%
19°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou plus
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17–18°C for Chengdu’s lowest temperature today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid transitional early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with clearer skies favoring greater heat loss and higher probabilities for the 17°C outcome. Regional models show limited consensus on exact dew-point trajectories and urban-heat-island modulation, while historical September minima near 18°C provide a baseline that traders weigh against current observational trends. Resolution hinges on official Chengdu meteorological station readings, with any late-evening frontal passage or increased moisture the key variable that could tip the market toward 16°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$843Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17–18°C for Chengdu’s lowest temperature today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid transitional early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with clearer skies favoring greater heat loss and higher probabilities for the 17°C outcome. Regional models show limited consensus on exact dew-point trajectories and urban-heat-island modulation, while historical September minima near 18°C provide a baseline that traders weigh against current observational trends. Resolution hinges on official Chengdu meteorological station readings, with any late-evening frontal passage or increased moisture the key variable that could tip the market toward 16°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$843Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17–18°C for Chengdu’s lowest temperature today, reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid transitional early-autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind regimes can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, with clearer skies favoring greater heat loss and higher probabilities for the 17°C outcome. Regional models show limited consensus on exact dew-point trajectories and urban-heat-island modulation, while historical September minima near 18°C provide a baseline that traders weigh against current observational trends. Resolution hinges on official Chengdu meteorological station readings, with any late-evening frontal passage or increased moisture the key variable that could tip the market toward 16°C or below.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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