Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the market's emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome for Warsaw's September 10 maximum, reflecting a consensus around 18–19°C amid westerly flow and light rain. A frontal boundary is suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 28°C, with model guidance showing consistent cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% that limit solar insolation. This aligns with climatological September norms near 18–20°C while accounting for the current cool advection pattern. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations from Warsaw stations once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 10 septembre ?
19°C 42%
20°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$11,511 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,511 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
20%
19°C
42%
20°C
27%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou plus
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 27%
18°C 20%
21°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$11,511 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,511 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$172 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,004 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,695 Vol.
3%
18°C
$3,026 Vol.
20%
19°C
$1,728 Vol.
42%
20°C
$1,469 Vol.
27%
21°C
$1,381 Vol.
8%
22°C
$238 Vol.
2%
23°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou plus
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the market's emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome for Warsaw's September 10 maximum, reflecting a consensus around 18–19°C amid westerly flow and light rain. A frontal boundary is suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 28°C, with model guidance showing consistent cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% that limit solar insolation. This aligns with climatological September norms near 18–20°C while accounting for the current cool advection pattern. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations from Warsaw stations once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,511Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the market's emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome for Warsaw's September 10 maximum, reflecting a consensus around 18–19°C amid westerly flow and light rain. A frontal boundary is suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 28°C, with model guidance showing consistent cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% that limit solar insolation. This aligns with climatological September norms near 18–20°C while accounting for the current cool advection pattern. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations from Warsaw stations once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,511Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models drive the market's emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome for Warsaw's September 10 maximum, reflecting a consensus around 18–19°C amid westerly flow and light rain. A frontal boundary is suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 28°C, with model guidance showing consistent cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70% that limit solar insolation. This aligns with climatological September norms near 18–20°C while accounting for the current cool advection pattern. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model runs heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations from Warsaw stations once the day concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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