Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations for September 9, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 31.3°C at the Tokyo station amid morning humidity near 80% and afternoon showers, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C. This outcome reflects real-time thermometer data under variable southerly flow that limited further warming despite residual summer warmth. Nearby sites reported similar peaks around 30–32°C before a sharp evening drop with northerly winds. A revision in official records or use of an alternate station threshold could theoretically shift resolution, though historical JMA verification processes make such changes improbable given the clear observational consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 9 septembre ?
31°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,759 Vol.
$67,759 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Oui
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C ou plus
Non
31°C 100.0%
25°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,759 Vol.
$67,759 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$7,103 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,234 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,274 Vol.
Non
28°C
$4,599 Vol.
Non
29°C
$6,573 Vol.
Non
30°C
$7,507 Vol.
Non
31°C
$13,948 Vol.
Oui
32°C
$10,257 Vol.
Non
33°C
$7,323 Vol.
Non
34°C
$2,821 Vol.
Non
35°C ou plus
$2,119 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations for September 9, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 31.3°C at the Tokyo station amid morning humidity near 80% and afternoon showers, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C. This outcome reflects real-time thermometer data under variable southerly flow that limited further warming despite residual summer warmth. Nearby sites reported similar peaks around 30–32°C before a sharp evening drop with northerly winds. A revision in official records or use of an alternate station threshold could theoretically shift resolution, though historical JMA verification processes make such changes improbable given the clear observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$67,759Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations for September 9, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 31.3°C at the Tokyo station amid morning humidity near 80% and afternoon showers, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C. This outcome reflects real-time thermometer data under variable southerly flow that limited further warming despite residual summer warmth. Nearby sites reported similar peaks around 30–32°C before a sharp evening drop with northerly winds. A revision in official records or use of an alternate station threshold could theoretically shift resolution, though historical JMA verification processes make such changes improbable given the clear observational consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,759Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations for September 9, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 31.3°C at the Tokyo station amid morning humidity near 80% and afternoon showers, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on 31°C. This outcome reflects real-time thermometer data under variable southerly flow that limited further warming despite residual summer warmth. Nearby sites reported similar peaks around 30–32°C before a sharp evening drop with northerly winds. A revision in official records or use of an alternate station threshold could theoretically shift resolution, though historical JMA verification processes make such changes improbable given the clear observational consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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