Recent observational data and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm Shanghai's surface air temperatures peaking at 28°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early September. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time station measurements and ensemble agreement showing minimal deviation risk, as dew points and humidity levels support stable daytime maxima near this threshold. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include localized microclimate effects at the official reporting station or late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, though current conditions and short-term guidance make such shifts improbable before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 9 septembre ?
28°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
24°C ou moins <1%
$67,925 Vol.
$67,925 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
28°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
29°C <1%
24°C ou moins <1%
$67,925 Vol.
$67,925 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$250 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,345 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$21,258 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$16,836 Vol.
100%
29°C
$12,496 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,859 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,891 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou plus
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm Shanghai's surface air temperatures peaking at 28°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early September. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time station measurements and ensemble agreement showing minimal deviation risk, as dew points and humidity levels support stable daytime maxima near this threshold. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include localized microclimate effects at the official reporting station or late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, though current conditions and short-term guidance make such shifts improbable before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$67,925Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm Shanghai's surface air temperatures peaking at 28°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early September. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time station measurements and ensemble agreement showing minimal deviation risk, as dew points and humidity levels support stable daytime maxima near this threshold. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include localized microclimate effects at the official reporting station or late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, though current conditions and short-term guidance make such shifts improbable before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,925Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm Shanghai's surface air temperatures peaking at 28°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early September. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for this outcome reflects real-time station measurements and ensemble agreement showing minimal deviation risk, as dew points and humidity levels support stable daytime maxima near this threshold. Scenarios that could realistically alter resolution include localized microclimate effects at the official reporting station or late-day cooling from unexpected cloud cover, though current conditions and short-term guidance make such shifts improbable before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes