Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 9 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,393 Vol.
$29,393 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,393 Vol.
$29,393 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$349 Vol.
Non
20°C
$911 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3,357 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,544 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,091 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,132 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,488 Vol.
Non
26°C
$5,666 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$2,816 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,669 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$1,370 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$29,393Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,393Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligns with official forecast guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Multiple meteorological sources, including local monitoring data, project a peak around 25–26°C (roughly 77–79°F), consistent with typical early-September conditions in the region where daytime highs often stabilize near seasonal averages without strong frontal systems or marine influence altering the outcome. Current observations through afternoon confirm temperatures climbing into the mid-20s Celsius without exceeding model consensus. A realistic challenge would require verified station readings deviating due to localized wind shifts, timing of peak insolation, or post-event data revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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