Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 65% implied probability for 14°C, as current ensemble guidance shows limited variability around this value amid stable high-pressure influence. September climatology places typical maxima between 13–15°C, providing context for the tight clustering of probabilities on 13°C and 15°C outcomes. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, though traders will monitor updated runs ahead of resolution for any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 9 septembre ?
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 16%
12°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$12,622 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,622 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
16%
14°C
66%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 16%
12°C 2%
NOUVEAU
$12,622 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,622 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$871 Vol.
1%
12°C
$850 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,842 Vol.
16%
14°C
$2,613 Vol.
66%
15°C
$2,205 Vol.
17%
16°C
$693 Vol.
1%
17°C
$790 Vol.
<1%
18°C ou plus
$616 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 65% implied probability for 14°C, as current ensemble guidance shows limited variability around this value amid stable high-pressure influence. September climatology places typical maxima between 13–15°C, providing context for the tight clustering of probabilities on 13°C and 15°C outcomes. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, though traders will monitor updated runs ahead of resolution for any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,622Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 65% implied probability for 14°C, as current ensemble guidance shows limited variability around this value amid stable high-pressure influence. September climatology places typical maxima between 13–15°C, providing context for the tight clustering of probabilities on 13°C and 15°C outcomes. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, though traders will monitor updated runs ahead of resolution for any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,622Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 14°C in Wellington on September 9 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 65% implied probability for 14°C, as current ensemble guidance shows limited variability around this value amid stable high-pressure influence. September climatology places typical maxima between 13–15°C, providing context for the tight clustering of probabilities on 13°C and 15°C outcomes. No significant model shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, though traders will monitor updated runs ahead of resolution for any late adjustments in cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter peak readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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