Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak daytime temperature near 28–29°C in Warsaw on September 9, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal system, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours. Afternoon wind shifts to northwest and increasing cloud cover or light precipitation later in the day introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, helping explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (29.0%) over 28°C (20.0%). Official observations and ensemble guidance show limited potential for 31°C or higher under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while historical September baselines for the region support these moderate late-summer values before cooler air arrives on the 10th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 9 septembre ?
29°C 41%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
20%
29°C
41%
30°C
30%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$243 Vol.
1%
26°C
$101 Vol.
2%
27°C
$114 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,315 Vol.
20%
29°C
$2,128 Vol.
41%
30°C
$1,278 Vol.
30%
31°C
$1,149 Vol.
6%
32°C
$85 Vol.
1%
33°C
$200 Vol.
1%
34°C
$732 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou plus
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak daytime temperature near 28–29°C in Warsaw on September 9, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal system, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours. Afternoon wind shifts to northwest and increasing cloud cover or light precipitation later in the day introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, helping explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (29.0%) over 28°C (20.0%). Official observations and ensemble guidance show limited potential for 31°C or higher under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while historical September baselines for the region support these moderate late-summer values before cooler air arrives on the 10th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,961Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak daytime temperature near 28–29°C in Warsaw on September 9, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal system, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours. Afternoon wind shifts to northwest and increasing cloud cover or light precipitation later in the day introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, helping explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (29.0%) over 28°C (20.0%). Official observations and ensemble guidance show limited potential for 31°C or higher under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while historical September baselines for the region support these moderate late-summer values before cooler air arrives on the 10th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,961Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a peak daytime temperature near 28–29°C in Warsaw on September 9, driven by southerly to southwesterly flow advecting warmer air ahead of an approaching frontal system, combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar insolation during peak heating hours. Afternoon wind shifts to northwest and increasing cloud cover or light precipitation later in the day introduce uncertainty in the exact maximum, helping explain why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 29°C (38.5%) and 30°C (29.0%) over 28°C (20.0%). Official observations and ensemble guidance show limited potential for 31°C or higher under current steering patterns and moisture profiles, while historical September baselines for the region support these moderate late-summer values before cooler air arrives on the 10th.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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