Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting maximum temperatures in Warsaw on September 8 likely between 24–28 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the spread across those thresholds, while dew points near 13–15 °C and light surface winds limit additional warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with low precipitation risk preserving insolation; updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and drive any shifts in market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 8 septembre ?
27°C 36%
28°C 26%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
36%
28°C
26%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
6%
32°C ou plus
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 26%
25°C 20%
26°C 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting maximum temperatures in Warsaw on September 8 likely between 24–28 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the spread across those thresholds, while dew points near 13–15 °C and light surface winds limit additional warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with low precipitation risk preserving insolation; updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and drive any shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting maximum temperatures in Warsaw on September 8 likely between 24–28 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the spread across those thresholds, while dew points near 13–15 °C and light surface winds limit additional warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with low precipitation risk preserving insolation; updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and drive any shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting maximum temperatures in Warsaw on September 8 likely between 24–28 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the spread across those thresholds, while dew points near 13–15 °C and light surface winds limit additional warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, with low precipitation risk preserving insolation; updated model runs and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak and drive any shifts in market-implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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