Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 6 septembre ?
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C ou plus
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 16%
29°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$140 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$128 Vol.
2%
28°C
$363 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,699 Vol.
9%
30°C
$887 Vol.
25%
31°C
$738 Vol.
36%
32°C
$63 Vol.
16%
33°C
$623 Vol.
4%
34°C ou plus
$265 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,879Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,879Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models converge on a peak temperature of 30–31°C for Shenzhen on September 6, driven by extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorm activity that restricts solar heating. These conditions align with early-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and weak steering flow often cap daytime maxima near the 31°C monthly average. Light northerly winds further limit advection of warmer air. Latest forecast runs show minor spread between 30°C and 32°C depending on convective timing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes while leaving room for adjustment from final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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